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Thursday, October 29, 2015

Chinese: 該沙發土豆的指導致富

也許是因為該國提出的新教工作道德。或者,也許這是我們母親的話猶在我們的頭上:“如果你不努力,你永遠也達了。”不管什麼原因,人們認為他們需要努力工作賺錢,這並不總是正確的。

當然,你一定要展現出來,勤勉辛勞在辦公室。但是,當你儲蓄和投資,你最好是一個沙發土豆。懶惰的組合管理方法勝“努力工作”幾乎每一次過來。

需要多少支付偷懶?保守的估計是,它將支付的平均投資$ 250,000某處北部。這是正確的。理想情況下,幾乎沒有 - 你可以通過少做獲得二十五萬美元。

我第一次聽到這個概念,它是在一個投資會議早在上世紀80年代,我是目不轉睛的看著電視節目中說話的是傑克·博格爾, [http://www.amazon.com/Enough-True-Measures-Money-Business/dp/0470524235/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1276706734&sr=1-2]誰是先鋒投資公司的創始人。 [https://personal.vanguard.com/us/whatweoffer?WT.srch=1]他談到了他的學術研究的證明,幾乎沒有人能始終如一地戰勝市場在很長一段。你可以期望的最好是迎合市場,這給了你,不是半壞的回報。

答案,他說,通過低成本的指數基金[http://www.bogleheads.org/]投資於股票和債券的廣泛大片,忘了你的投資組合。花時間去生活,而不是研究股票和債券。這比出汗多投資,反正好玩得多。

幾年後,在另一個電視投資會議上,特倫斯Odean,[http://www2.haas.berkeley.edu/Faculty/odean_terrance.aspx]一個大學伯克利分校教授,誰證明了博格爾的理論通過它來了另一種方式。你交易的越多,你失去了更多,Odean發現通過檢查成千上萬的投資者的現實生活中的組合和交易模式。他的論文,男孩就是男孩,]是一個不可不看的那些誰認為他們會智取股市。 [http://faculty.haas.berkeley.edu/odean/papers/gender/gender.html

只要記住的偷懶的做法不經意投資者,一個整潔的小博客充滿了常識諮詢的智慧。我已經閱讀後約支付投資建議。 [http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/]

這裡是另一個奇妙的小片8懶惰投資組合。 (事實上,崗位的標題是8懶惰ETF投資組合,但這是使華爾街的發言,我不得不進行修改。ETF是短期的交易所買賣基金有關此類型基金的唯一法寶是他們超 - 低成本。)[http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/8-lazy-etf-portfolios/]

在帖子中,不經意投資者概述推薦8稱讚專家的簡單組合。所有這些組合都是低成本;補鍋匠無計劃。你買他們,不理會他們。

“唯一的區別:您將您自己的數字到我的投資組合規劃師,以配合您的年齡和情況,所以你鼓搗自由組合將滿足你的現金需求,並滿足您的個性。也就是說,據推測,將幫助你離開你的股票單獨在動盪時期喜歡這些,它可以為您節省一筆財富,從長遠來看。

那麼,如何懶惰付給你錢嗎?如果你讀Odean的研究,你會發現,頻繁的交易成本,你大約2.65個百分點,每年的投資回報。這意味著,而不是收入的平均的,也就是說,8或9%,在您購買並獨自離開一個投資組合,你會之間的5.35%和6.35%,與它擺弄的收入。

要了解如何影響你的美元和意義上,我們轉向“簡單的儲蓄計算器”在BankRate.com。如果我們假設你開始投資$ 150個月的25歲,並繼續為同樣數額在未來40年,你會最終有一個價值$ 527292如果你夠懶息事寧人,賺取的平均投資組合回報率約為8%,一個多元化的投資組合。但是,如果你周圍的修修補補 - 從而引發稅收和交易成本 - 你只平均獲得5.35%,根據Odean的分析。這將使使用$二五二二二九 - 約$二七五零六三少。 [http://www.bankrate.com/calculators/savings/simple-savings-calculator.aspx]

如果你認為你的投資回報率較高,或者如果你投入更多按月,修修補補的成本變得更加繁重。比方說,你投資$ 250一個月的平均收入的9%。在退休後,在沙發土豆的投資組合將價值$ 1.179億美元。在工匠的產品組合(這僅僅獲得6.35%的平均水平),是價值$五十五萬零九百四十五-an驚人的$六十二萬八千四百十二少。

你應該做你的投資組合中唯一的修修補補是“再平衡”一年一次。這也就意味著,你看你的資產​​,你必須在每個資產類別的比例 - 股票,債券,現金等 - 並確保與你想你應該根據你的年齡,資產和百分比匹配目標。

但是,你剛才聽到有人說:“這是一個交易者的市場!買入並持有死了!“找出他們在賣什麼。這不是公正的投資建議。這些誰沒有什麼可賣給你 - 教授,在專家和憤世嫉俗的記者跟我一樣 - 要告訴你,你會賺更多的投資領域,當你懶惰的比你可以通過努力智勝華爾街。

 - 鳥

***

Romanization: Gāi shāfā tǔdòu de zhǐdǎo zhìfù
yěxǔ shì yīnwèi gāi guó tíchū de xīnjiào gōngzuò dàodé. Huòzhě, yěxǔ zhè shì wǒmen mǔqīn dehuà yóu zài wǒmen de tóushàng:“Rúguǒ nǐ bù nǔlì, nǐ yǒngyuǎn yě dále.” Bùguǎn shénme yuányīn, rénmen rènwéi tāmen xūyào nǔlì gōngzuò zhuànqián, zhè bìng bù zǒng shì zhèngquè de.

Dāngrán, nǐ yīdìng yào zhǎnxiàn chūlái, qínmiǎn xīnláo zài bàngōngshì. Dànshì, dāng nǐ chúxù hé tóuzī, nǐ zuì hǎo shì yīgè shāfā tǔdòu. Lǎnduò de zǔhé guǎnlǐ fāngfǎ shèng “nǔlì gōngzuò” jīhū měi yīcì guòlái.

Xūyào duōshǎo zhīfù tōulǎn? Bǎoshǒu de gūjì shì, tā jiāng zhīfù de píngjūn tóuzī $ 250,000 mǒu chù běibù. Zhè shì zhèngquè de. Lǐxiǎng qíngkuàng xià, jīhū méiyǒu - nǐ kěyǐ tōngguò shǎo zuò huòdé èrshíwǔ wàn měiyuán.

Wǒ dì yīcì tīngdào zhège gàiniàn, tā shì zài yīgè tóuzī huìyì zǎo zài shàng shìjì 80 niándài, wǒ shì mùbùzhuǎnjīng de kànzhe diànshì jiémù zhōng shuōhuà de shì jiékè·bó gé ěr, [http://Www.Amazon.Com/Enough-True-Measures-Money-Business/dp/0470524235/ref=sr_1_2?Ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1276706734&sr=1-2] shuí shì xiānfēng tóuzī gōngsī de chuàngshǐ rén. [Https://Personal.Vanguard.Com/us/whatweoffer?WT.Srch=1] tā tán dàole tā de xuéshù yánjiū de zhèngmíng, jīhū méiyǒurén néng shǐzhōng rúyī dì zhànshèng shìchǎng zài hěn zhǎng yīduàn. Nǐ kěyǐ qīwàng de zuì hǎo shì yínghé shìchǎng, zhè gěile nǐ, bùshì bàn huài de huíbào.

Dá'àn, tā shuō, tōngguò dī chéngběn de zhǐshù jījīn [http://Www.Bogleheads.Org/] tóuzī yú gǔpiào hé zhàiquàn de guǎngfàn dàpiàn, wàngle nǐ de tóuzī zǔhé. Huā shíjiān qù shēnghuó, ér bùshì yánjiū gǔpiào hé zhàiquàn. Zhè bǐ chū hàn duō tóuzī, fǎnzhèng hǎowán dé duō.

Jǐ nián hòu, zài lìng yīgè diànshì tóuzī huìyì shàng, tè lún sī Odean,[http://Www2.Haas.Berkeley.Edu/Faculty/odean_terrance.Aspx] yīgè dàxué bókèlì fēnxiào jiàoshòu, shuí zhèngmíngliǎo bó gé ěr de lǐlùn tōngguò tā láile lìng yīzhǒng fāngshì. Nǐ jiāoyì de yuè duō, nǐ shīqùle gèng duō,Odean fāxiàn tōngguò jiǎnchá chéng qiān shàng wàn de tóuzī zhě de xiànshí shēnghuó zhōng de zǔhé hé jiāoyì móshì. Tā dì lùnwén, nánhái jiùshì nánhái,] shì yīgè bùkě bù kàn dì nàxiē shuí rènwéi tāmen huì zhì qǔ gǔshì. [Http://Faculty.Haas.Berkeley.Edu/odean/papers/gender/gender.Html

zhǐyào jì zhù de tōulǎn de zuòfǎ bùjīngyì tóuzī zhě, yīgè zhěngjié de xiǎo bókè chōngmǎnle chángshì zīxún de zhìhuì. Wǒ yǐjīng yuèdú hòu yuē zhīfù tóuzī jiànyì. [Http://Www.Obliviousinvestor.Com/]

zhèlǐ shì lìng yīgè qímiào de xiǎopiàn 8 lǎnduò tóuzī zǔhé. (Shìshí shàng, gǎngwèi de biāotí shì 8 lǎnduò ETF tóuzī zǔhé, dàn zhè shì shǐ huá'ěrjiē de fāyán, wǒ bùdé bù jìnxíng xiūgǎi.ETF shì duǎnqí de jiāoyì suǒ mǎimài jījīn yǒuguān cǐ lèixíng jījīn de wéiyī fǎbǎo shì tāmen chāo - dī chéngběn.)[Http://Www.Obliviousinvestor.Com/8-lazy-etf-portfolios/]

zài tiězi zhōng, bùjīngyì tóuzī zhě gàishù tuījiàn 8 chēngzàn zhuānjiā de jiǎndān zǔhé. Suǒyǒu zhèxiē zǔhé dōu shì dī chéngběn; bǔ guō jiàng wú jìhuà. Nǐ mǎi tāmen, bù lǐhuì tāmen.

“Wéiyī de qūbié: Nín jiāng nín zìjǐ de shùzì dào wǒ de tóuzī zǔhé guīhuà shī, yǐ pèihé nín de niánlíng hé qíngkuàng, suǒyǐ nǐ gǔdao zìyóu zǔhé jiāng mǎnzú nǐ de xiànjīn xūqiú, bìng mǎnzú nín de gèxìng. Yě jiùshì shuō, jù tuīcè, jiāng bāngzhù nǐ líkāi nǐ de gǔpiào dāndú zài dòngdàng shíqí xǐhuān zhèxiē, tā kěyǐ wéi nín jiéshěng yībǐ cáifù, cóng chángyuǎn lái kàn.

Nàme, rúhé lǎnduò fù gěi nǐ qián ma? Rúguǒ nǐ dú Odean de yánjiū, nǐ huì fāxiàn, pínfán de jiāoyì chéngběn, nǐ dàyuē 2.65 Gè bǎifēndiǎn, měinián de tóuzī huíbào. Zhè yìwèizhe, ér bùshì shōurù de píngjūn de, yě jiùshì shuō,8 huò 9%, zài nín gòumǎi bìng dúzì líkāi yīgè tóuzī zǔhé, nǐ huì zhī jiān de 5.35%Hé 6.35%, Yǔ tā bǎinòng de shōurù.

Yào liǎojiě rúhé yǐngxiǎng nǐ dì měiyuán hé yìyì shàng, wǒmen zhuǎnxiàng “jiǎndān de chúxù jìsuàn qì” zài BankRate.Com. Rúguǒ wǒmen jiǎshè nǐ kāishǐ tóuzī $ 150 gè yuè de 25 suì, bìng jìxù wèi tóngyàng shù'é zài wèilái 40 nián, nǐ huì zuìzhōng yǒu yīgè jiàzhí $ 527292 rúguǒ nǐ gòu lǎn xīshìníngrén, zhuàn qǔ de píngjūn tóuzī zǔhé huíbào lǜ yuē wèi 8%, yīgè duōyuán huà de tóuzī zǔhé. Dànshì, rúguǒ nǐ zhōuwéi de xiū xiūbǔ bǔ - cóng'ér yǐnfā shuìshōu hé jiāoyì chéngběn - nǐ zhǐ píngjūn huòdé 5.35%, Gēnjù Odean de fēnxī. Zhè jiāng shǐ shǐyòng $èrwǔ'èr'èr'èrjiǔ - yuē $èrqīwǔ líng liùsān shǎo. [Http://Www.Bankrate.Com/calculators/savings/simple-savings-calculator.Aspx]

rúguǒ nǐ rènwéi nǐ de tóuzī huíbào lǜ jiào gāo, huòzhě rúguǒ nǐ tóurù gèng duō àn yuè, xiū xiūbǔ bǔ de chéngběn biàn dé gèngjiā fánzhòng. Bǐfāng shuō, nǐ tóuzī $ 250 yīgè yuè de píngjūn shōurù de 9%. Zài tuìxiū hòu, zài shāfā tǔdòu de tóuzī zǔhé jiāng jiàzhí $ 1.179 Yì měiyuán. Zài gōngjiàng de chǎnpǐn zǔhé (zhè jǐnjǐn huòdé 6.35%De píngjūn shuǐpíng), shì jiàzhí $wǔshíwǔ wàn líng jiǔbǎi sìshíwǔ-an jīngrén de $liùshí'èr wàn bāqiān sìbǎi shí'èr shǎo.

Nǐ yīnggāi zuò nǐ de tóuzī zǔhé zhōng wéiyī de xiū xiūbǔ bǔ shì “zài pínghéng” yī nián yī cì. Zhè yě jiù yìwèizhe, nǐ kàn nǐ de zīchǎn​​, nǐ bìxū zài měi gè zīchǎn lèibié de bǐlì - gǔpiào, zhàiquàn, xiànjīn děng - bìng quèbǎo yǔ nǐ xiǎng nǐ yīnggāi gēnjù nǐ de niánlíng, zīchǎn hé bǎifēnbǐ pǐpèi mùbiāo.

Dànshì, nǐ gāngcái tīngdào yǒu rén shuō:“Zhè shì yīgè jiāoyì zhě de shìchǎng! Mǎi rù bìng chí yǒu sǐle!“Zhǎo chū tāmen zài mài shénme. Zhè bùshì gōngzhèng de tóuzī jiànyì. Zhèxiē shuí méiyǒu shé me kě mài gěi nǐ - jiàoshòu, zài zhuānjiā hé fènshìjísú de jìzhě gēn wǒ yīyàng - yào gàosù nǐ, nǐ huì zhuàn gèng duō de tóuzī lǐngyù, dāng nǐ lǎnduò de bǐ nǐ kěyǐ tōngguò nǔlì zhìshèng huá'ěrjiē.

 - Niǎo

***
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